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Economía Internacional y México este 2021

4 Jan , 2021  

Economía Internacional, Mexico, 2020, Susana Muñoz, Chinese Desk, 2021

VTZ preparó una serie de publicaciones para comenzar 2021 relacionados con el webinar “Experiencias 2020, Expectativas 2021“, este post sobre el contexto de la Economía Internacional y México en el 2021 fue preparado por Susana Muñoz.

Economía Internacional en Video y PDF

Puedes ver la participación de Susana Muñoz aquí, o descargar el post en versión PDF:

Susana Muñoz,Chinese Desk, Hong Kong , Mexico
Susana Muñoz

Efectos Económicos Internacionales de la Pandemia COVID en el 2020

A finales del 2020 vimos que solamente los países asiáticos han podido contener el impacto económico de la pandemia. El pasado mes de octubre, el Fondo Monetario Internacional publicó su World Economic Outlook, la tercera edición del año, con los pronósticos sobre la economía y para el crecimiento económico del 2020 y 2021.

Perspectivas Internacionales: Decrecimiento en la Economía

Las noticias son muy negativas, tenemos un decrecimiento económico en EE.UU. de -4.3%, la zona Euro en donde se espera un decrecimiento económico de -8.3%, otras economías avanzadas como Japón -5.3%.

El pronóstico para Latinoamérica obviamente es bastante malo, más porque México y las naciones de Latinoamérica siguen en la segunda ola. Esto implica que no habrá apertura económica por lo menos durante el primer semestre del 2021. Entonces, la perspectiva de las economías Latinoamericanas pintan un poco complicada.

Economías de Asia: La Excepción

Por otro lado, las economías asiáticas emergentes, en este caso China, Taiwán y Vietnam, son las únicas economías del mundo en las que se espera que haya crecimiento económico en el 2020.

En ese sentido, vemos que Asia es la región que está mejor librando la crisis y que está empujando la economía a nivel mundial. Esto no sólo porque países asiáticos han logrado controlar el nivel de contagio y abrir las economías de manera gradual o temporal, sino que también porque los gobiernos han anunciado ya varias rondas de paquetes de rescate económico. 

Medidas de Rescate o Alivio COVID en Asia

Entre las varias medidas de los países asíaticos, tenemos diversos subsidios al empleo, condonaciones de impuestos y de pagos de seguridad social, electricidad, agua, drenaje, así como subsidios a los sectores de turismo, aviación y menudeo. También se han anunciado incentivos para las exportaciones, apoyos económicos para el desempleo, estas medidas de alguna forma, les permite mantener la economía a flote y controlar el desempleo y, por lo tanto, les va a permitir una mejor recuperación en el 2021, cuando esperamos que ya se pueda controlar la pandemia, a través de las vacunas o cuando termine la segunda oleada de COVID.

Tendencias de Política Comercial Internacional en Asia

Otro aspecto relevante es que, a pesar de la pandemia, Asia ha podido mantener su agenda económica durante este año y sigue apostando por una mayor integración económica, a diferencia de EE.UU., Latinoamérica y la Unión Europea, que son regiones con agendas económicas y comerciales muy diferentes. Asia le está apostando a la integración incluso con China, lo vimos recientemente con el anuncio de la firma del RCEP, este mega tratado de libre comercio. 

Ejemplos muy claros Japón, que además de ser parte del TIPAT o CPTPP también firmó RCEP, y también está negociando un acuerdo de libre comercio con Corea y China. Está muy claro que la guerra comercial ha afectado los intereses de Japón en China porque tiene muchas inversiones importantes en China, lo cual ha limitado sus exportaciones a EE.UU.. 

Los EE.UU. probablemente va continuar con su agenda comercial. Esto está empujando a empresas manufactureras que están ubicadas en China para que se trasladen a Vietnam o a otros países del sureste de Asia. Vietnam estrenó un nuevo tratado de libre comercio con la Unión Europea y con Inglaterra; Camboya que también acaba de anunciar su tratado de libre comercio con China, además del tratado de libre comercio que ya tienen en el marco de ASEAN con China. 

Turismo, Comercio Electrónico y Tecnología

También, las burbujas de viaje que está implementando Asia que están permitiendo reactivar el sector turismo, y particularmente los viajes de negocios. Hay una mayor promoción a las actividades de cooperación en tecnología e industrialización; en esta línea, el tema de la economía digital ha sido el gran ganador de la pandemia. Tenemos mucho intercambio, mucha cooperación en lo que se llama Fintech, servicios en línea, logística y, obviamente, esto dará lugar a muchos productos y servicios para el mercado asiático.

Impacto en la Economía Mexicana 2021

Al final, ¿esto cómo nos afecta a nosotros en México?

Definitivamente, la pandemia ha detenido muchos planes de inversión que había hacia nuestro país. Se pensaba que con la entrada en vigor del T-MEC iba llover la inversión extranjera en México y, desafortunadamente, no ha pasado así porque de alguna forma nos quedamos en medio de la pandemia y sin brazos en el exterior que nos pudieran ayudar a promover el país como un destino de inversión. Hay muy pocas posibilidades de viajar y mucho menos posibilidades de interactuar y promover nuestro país, por lo menos, hasta el segundo semestre del 2021.

México tiene muchas ventajas competitivas. Sin embargo, aún tenemos que hacer un esfuerzo enorme de promoción económica que nos permita explicarle a la gente, a los inversionistas extranjeros, realmente cuáles son las ventajas de invertir en nuestro país, de qué forma pueden beneficiarse de todos los tratados de libre comercio que tenemos y la apertura económica y comercial de México.

More…

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Mexican International Trade Weekly News – COVID update and Essential Activities, WTO Azevedo and G20 – The Trading Room

15 May , 2020  

Trading Room, VTZ abogados, Mexican Lawyers, COVID, Essential Activities in Mexico, WTO, Azevedo, G20

This week on the Trading Room, we address the Mexican the weekly news that impacts international trade in Mexico: Mexican COVID-19 strategy to resume activities, changes to the essential activities, Director General of the WTO steps down and its implications to Mexico, as well as the G20 decision. Download our newsletter in the following link: Trading Room – May 15.

Changes to “Essential Activities” and Mexican COVID-19 strategy to resume activities.

After requests from the US government and industry, the Mexican Ministry of Health finally published yesterday the decision that adds as an “essential activities” the transportation equipment manufacturing industry, as well as the construction and mining; the decision also establishes a three-stage strategy to resume educational, social, and economic activities.

However, the three aforementioned industries will be able to resume activities until June 1, so supply chains will likely be affected, particularly OEM plants in the US that will begin operations the following week, as we reported last week citing the MENA.

For more information on the stages, we prepared an Alert – COVID.

 

Mexican Official Gazette Controversy

We consider it important to share that the General Health Council published a similar decision on Wednesday, May 13, however, it was suddenly and incredibly withdrawn during the day by the Official Gazette of the Federation. The department issued a statement with an explanation.

 

A retired supreme court judge, Mr. Cossío, stated in a tweet that the alteration of the Official Gazette was done because public officials realized that the General Health Council lacked powers to issue such a decision.  

 

The Mexican Bar issued a statement regarding this event calling the government to protect the trustworthiness of the Official Gazette.

In VTZ we fully endorse the content of the letter. 

WTO Director General, Azevedo, resigns.

Yesterday, May 14, Roberto Azevedo, Director General (DG) of the WTO, announced that he will step down from his position on August 31 of this year. Roberto Azevedo began his position in 2013, a mandate that was renewed in 2017, and that ended in August 2021.

 

Within his mandate, the Commercial Facilitation Agreement, the expansion of the Information Technology Agreement, among other decisions, were agreed; Also, Azevedo has been criticized for being passive in defending the multilateral trading system due to the constant attacks of the US against the Appellate Body (including on a budgetary basis).

 

According to his farewell speech, Azevedo explains that he is resigning because, in part, members will be able to choose a new director who will have the time to prepare for the next Ministerial Conference as well as to set a new path for the future of the WTO, taking into account the new post-COVID-19 realities.

 

What implications are there for Mexico?

The WTO is going through a critical time, as no consensus has been reached, notably, with regard to the selection of Appellate Body members. Without a leader at the head of the WTO, the multilateral system will be paralyzed because members will hardly be able to reach new agreements to renew the foundations of the WTO, such as new agreements on subsidies, dispute settlement, fishery subsidies, etc.

 

Lighthizer, the US Trade Representative, stated that he looks forward to participating in the selection of the new DG; however, if the members do not manage to choose promptly, the trade uncertainty will continue because it will be difficult to reduce the tensions of the US-China trade war, to return the “Rule of Law” to international trade relations punishing unilateral-protectionist actions, as well as to face the post-COVID effects.

 

The regional blocs will continue to take on greater relevance in international trade, fragmenting and rendering the multilateral system obsolete. Although Mexico is a strong supporter of the multilateral system, Mexico has established itself in various regional blocs, notably USMCA (with a renewed dispute settlement chapter), CPTPP, Pacific Alliance, and now modernizing its trade relations with the European Union, which may allow Mexico to become an attraction pole for new regional and global value chains.

G20 Statement vs. COVID-19

On May 14, the Ministry of Economy reported that the Trade and Investment Ministers of the G20 agreed on a series of specific actions in the short and long term to counter the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.

 

The actions foreseen in the short term focus mainly on issues of trade regulation and facilitation, global value chains, strengthening of foreign investment, transparency, and operation of logistics channels. In the long term, members agreed to strengthen the multilateral trading system.

 

Finally, the Ministry of Economy’s statement indicates that the G20 Trade and Investment Working Group must report the status of implementation of the agreed actions.

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Essential Businesses in Mexico – COVID Update – The Trading Room: An Economic Newsletter

8 May , 2020  

European Union - Mexico Free Trade Agreement, Suspension of taxs audits and acts, Resuming activities in Mexico, business sector versus covid-19, Digital currency in China

This week our newsletter addresses the issue regarding the essential businesses in Mexico, developments as to when economic activities for non-essential businesses in Mexico will resume,  proposals to reactivate the Mexican economy on behalf of the Business Coordinating Council, as well as VTZ alerts. Download our newsletter here.

Resuming Activities in Mexico

Last Friday and in the last days, news outlets reported that a group of senators submitted a letter to the Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, so that the government of Mexico may clarify the definition of “essential businesses”. In the letter, the senators ask Pompeo to pressure Mexico to include food, medical, transportation, infrastructure, aerospace, auto, and national security as essential businesses. The food, medical, and national security sectors are essential activities in Mexico as we reported in our previous edition.

On Tuesday, the Motor & Equipment Manufacturers Association (MENA), for its part, also submitted a letter to the Secretary of State regarding resuming activities in the auto and auto parts industry in Mexico. Although to our knowledge Pompeo has not made any public statements on this matter these days, MENA appreciated the efforts of the Secretary and his team, including Ambassador Christopher Landau.

In this regard, MENA informs Pompeo that the majority of the assembly plants (OEMs) will resume operations in the US on Monday 18 May. Hence, MENA requests that the automotive sector in Mexico resumes operations by next Tuesday, 12 May. MENA acknowledges that,

“[w]ithout parts from Mexico, it will be virtually impossible for U.S. motor vehicle assembly plants to restart.” 

COVID and Mexico: What is the current status?

There is still no legal news about resuming activities for non-essential businesses in Mexico, but yesterday the Mexican President, AMLO,  pointed out that Mexico is preparing to return to normality regarding productive activities and “once we have greater control over the pandemic, all economic, social, and cultural activity will be opened, of course, in a careful, gradual, and responsible manner.”

In response to a question of a journalist, the President said that communities that have not registered COVID cases may resume activities on Sunday 17 May. The president also announced that a plan to resume activities will be presented the following week. In this regard, the President also raised the possibility of establishing a sort of “traffic light” mechanism to determine if sectors, such as manufacturing, automotive, etc., can resume activities.

Needless to say, the Mexican States with the highest COVID registered cases, according to the federal government statistics, are:

  • North: Baja California (2,097), Chihuahua (600), Nuevo León (511)
  • Center: CDMX (7,521), Estado de Mexico (4,661), Puebla (910), Veracruz (872), Morelos (612).
  • South: Tabasco (1,319), Quintana Roo (980), Yucatan (688).

*Figures dated May 6.

COVID Mexico , Secretaría de Salud, Mexican Ministry of Health

Fuente/Source: Secretaría de Salud

 

At a local level, we observe that cities or zones with a strong industrial activity register “considerable” COVID cases, which can be seen in the following mapMexico is one of the countries with the lowest number of COVID tests per million people and, therefore, Mexico has a “low” number of registered cases because it is using the “sentinel surveillance” methodology.

Taking into account the President’s public statements and the presence of COVID in industrial regions (such as Aguascalientes, León, Monterrey, Puebla, and northern border cities), we believe that it is extremely unlikely for the auto or manufacturing industry to resume operations the following week.

 

Business Sector vs. COVID-19 emergency

On May 6, the Mexican Business Coordinating Council (CCE) presented 68 recommendations to the Mexican President, AMLO, prepared by panelists from the private and public sectors. The recommendations aim to face the COVID-19 pandemic and its effects on the Mexican economy. The following three types of actions are submitted:

  1. immediate actions to solve the crisis,
  2. actions to reactivate the economy, and
  3. medium and long-term plans to trigger inclusive growth and social development.

 

Within this last category, a Policy for the Mexican Economy is developed that includes, among other matters, the following recommendations on Investment and Trade:

Investment Recommendations

  • promoting foreign direct investment, mainly through infrastructure projects;
  • minimizing the number of administrative procedures, reducing response times as well as requirements for the implementation of investment projects,
  • decreasing the benchmark interest rate of Mexican Central Bank to promote investment and expand access to financing.

International Trade Recommendations

  • promoting and coordinating the implementation of the USMCA, with an emphasis on supply chains and investment;
  • replacing imports from China and other Southeast Asian countries used in the global value chains with products from the region; and,
  • taking advantage of free trade agreements with Europe, Latin America, and Asia in order to diversify trade.

 

We emphasize that these proposals are not new. For example, adding more regional or domestic content to the global value chains and promoting export diversification has been a goal of past administrations; in fact, they are policy objectives of the current administration.

 

Text of the Modernization of the European Union – Mexico Free Trade Agreement

 

This week the European Commission published the “updated” texts of the EU-Mexico FTA modernization. These texts are preliminary and subject to a legal review known as “legal scrubbing”. Read the texts here.

 

Digital Currency in China

During this week, several news outlets reported incorrect information about the pilot test of a digital currency conducted by the People’s Bank of China. Our partner who heads the Chinese Desk, Susana Muñoz, prepared an alert where she clarifies the information about the digital currency in China, check it out here

 

Suspension of Tax audits and acts  

This week, the First Amendment to the Miscellaneous Tax Regulations was published, which provides for the suspension of certain tax acts due to the health emergency. Our partner, Jorge Montes, prepared a tax alert on such matters, visit here (in Spanish only).

 

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Actividades Esenciales en México – Actualización COVID – The Trading Room: Boletín Noticias Económicas

8 May , 2020  

TLCUEM, TMEC, Reactivación económica en México por COVID-19, Actividades esenciales en México por COVID-19. Moneda digital en chiva, suspensión de ciertos actos de fiscalización por el SAT debido a la emergencia sanitaria, regreso a las actividades en México luego de la pandemia por COVID-19

Esta semana, nuestro boletín aborda el tema de los negocios esenciales en México, los desarrollos sobre cuándo se resumirán las actividades económicas para negocios no esenciales en México, las propuestas para reactivar la economía mexicana en nombre del Consejo de Coordinación de Negocios, así como las alertas de VTZ. Descargue nuestro boletín aquí.

Reactivación Económica en México 

El viernes pasado y en los últimos días, portales de noticias reportaron que un grupo de senadores presentó una carta al Secretario de Estado, Mike Pompeo, para que el gobierno de México clarifique la definición de actividades esenciales. En dicha carta, los senadores solicitan a Pompeo presionar a México para incluir los sectores de alimentos, médico, transporte, infraestructura, aeroespacial, automotriz y seguridad nacional como actividades esenciales. En México, actualmente, se consideran actividades esenciales los sectores de alimentos, médico y seguridad nacional, tal y como lo reportamos previamente.

 

El martes, la Motor & Equipment Manufacturers Association (MENA), , también entregó una carta al Secretario de Estado  con relación a la apertura de actividades  de la industria automotriz y de autopartes en México. Si bien en estos días Pompeo no ha hecho declaraciones sobre este tema, MENA agradeció los esfuerzos del Secretario y su equipo, incluyendo al Embajador Christopher Landau. 

 

Al respecto, la MENA informa a Pompeo que el 18 de mayo la mayoría de las plantas ensambladoras (OEM) reanudarán operaciones en EEUU, por lo que solicitan que  el próximo martes 12 de mayo  México reanude operaciones en el sector automotriz; La asociación  reconoce que “[s]in las partes de México, será virtualmente imposible que las ensambladoras de  vehículos de los EEUU puedan reanudar  actividades.”

 

¿Qué está pasando en México? Actividades Esenciales en México 

Aún no hay novedades legales sobre la reactivación de actividades, pero ayer jueves el presidente señaló que se está “preparando para el regreso a la normalidad de las actividades productivas. Una vez que tengamos mayor control sobre la pandemia, se va a abrir toda la actividad económica, social, cultura, claro, de manera cuidadosa, gradual, responsable.” 

 

En respuesta a una pregunta de un periodista, el presidente señaló que el 17 de mayo podrían reactivarse las actividades en municipios donde no hay casos.También, él anunció que se presentará un plan sobre la reactivación económica la siguiente semana. Al respecto, el presidente  planteó la posibilidad de establecer un sistema de “semáforo” para determinar si las actividades económicas, como la de exportación, automotriz, etc., pueden reiniciar.  

 

De acuerdo con las estadísticas del gobierno, los estados con mayor número de casos de COVID-19 son:

  • Norte de México: Baja California (2,097), Chihuahua (600), Nuevo León (511).
  • Centro: CDMX (7,521) , Estado de Mexico (4,661), Puebla (910), Veracruz (872), Morelos (612). 
  • Sur: Tabasco (1,319), Quintana Roo (980), Yucatan (688).

COVID Mexico , Secretaría de Salud, Mexican Ministry of Health

Fuente/Source: Secretaría de Salud

A nivel municipal, observamos que  municipios con gran actividad industrial cuentan con “considerables” números de casos COVID-19, lo cual se puede observar en el siguiente mapa

 

Recordemos que México es un país que ha realizado  pocas pruebas COVID-19 por millón de habitantes y, por tanto, reporta un número “bajo”  de registro de casos porque se recurrió al modelo “centinela”.   

 

Tomando en consideración las declaraciones del presidente y la presencia de COVID-19 en regiones industriales (como Aguascalientes, León, Monterrey, Puebla y ciudades fronterizas), resulta muy improbable que la industria automotriz o manufacturera reanudará operaciones la siguiente semana.

 

Sector Empresarial vs. Emergencia COVID-19

El 6 de mayo, el Consejo Coordinador Empresarial (CCE) presentó 68 recomendaciones al presidente de México, AMLO, preparadas por panelistas del sector público y privado para enfrentar la pandemia del COVID-19 y sus efectos en la economía nacional. Las recomendaciones se basan en tres tipos de acciones: 

i) acciones inmediatas para solventar la crisis, 

ii) acciones para reabrir la economía, y

iii) acciones de mediano y largo plazo para detonar el crecimiento incluyente y el desarrollo social.

Dentro de esta última categoría se establece la Política Económica mexicana que contempla entre otros rubros, la inversión y el sector exportador: 

  1. Inversión
  • promover la inversión extranjera directa, principalmente a través de proyectos de infraestructura;
  • minimizar el número de trámites, reducir tiempos de respuesta y requisitos necesarios para la implementación de proyectos de inversión,
  • disminuir la tasa de interés de referencia del Banco de México para promover la inversión, y expandir el acceso a financiamiento.

2. Sector Exportador

  • impulsar y coordinar la implementación del TMEC, con énfasis en cadenas de suministro e inversión; 
  • capitalizar los espacios de oportunidad en el sector exportador para sustituir importaciones de la cadena de valor de productos provenientes de China y otros países del sureste asiático con productos de la región; y,
  • aprovechar los tratados comerciales con Europa, América Latina y Asia en búsqueda de un comercio más diversificado.

Destacamos que estas propuestas no son nuevas. Por ejemplo, agregar mayor contenido regional a las cadenas de valor y promover la diversificación de las exportaciones ha sido un objetivo de las administraciones pasadas, incluyendo la actual. 

 

Texto TLCUEM 2.0

Esta semana la Comisión Europea publicó los textos “actualizados” de la modernización TLCUEM. Estos textos, cabe recalcar, son preliminares y están sujetos a una revisión legal conocido como “legal scrubbing”. Consulta los textos en inglés aquí.

 

Moneda Digital en China

Durante esta semana, portales de noticias reportaron información incorrecta sobre la prueba piloto de una moneda digital realizada por el Banco Popular de China. Nuestra socia que encabezada el Chinese Desk, Susana Muñoz, preparó una alerta donde aclara la información sobre la moneda digital en China, consúltalo aquí

Alerta Fiscal: Suspensión de actos de fiscalización 

Esta semana se publicó la Primera Modificación a la Miscelánea Fiscal, donde se prevé la suspensión de determinados actos de fiscalización por la emergencia sanitaria. Nuestro socio, Jorge Montes, preparó una alerta sobre dicha suspensión de términos y plazos, consúltala aquí.

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COVID in Mexico Report Update – The Trading Room

24 Apr , 2020  

The Trading Room: COVID in Mexico – Government Measures

Download our Newsletter in PDF in the following link: Trading Room -24042020

Changes to the essential activities in Mexico?

1. Background of “Essential Activities”

On March 19, the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) issued a non-binding guideline (guidance) considering 16 sectors considered “essential” for the US.  The guideline identifies the manufacturing sector that includes the primary metals (e.g. steel mills, aluminum, non-mineral ferrous), machinery (e.g. motors and turbines, power transmission equipment, and agricultural, mining and construction equipment), electrical (e.g. electric motors, transformers, and generators), and transportation equipment (e.g. ships, aerospace, and rail).

On March 30, Mexico issued an Agreement (“COVID Agreement”) ordering the immediate suspension of non-essential activities until April 30 and listed as essential activities, among others, those related to health, pharmaceuticals, manufacturing of supplies medical and health technologies, security, fundamental sectors of the economy (e.g. financial, tax collection, energy, food industry, retail, agricultural production, fish, and livestock, chemical industry, steel, etc.).

In sum, Mexico did not include manufacturing activities as an essential sector, except those that are related to medical supplies and equipment, so non-essential factories and/or maquiladoras are (or in theory should be) closed.

Consequently, the US government has expressed its concern about supply chains, particularly those that concern inputs used for national security. The National Manufacturing Association of the United States (NAM) submitted a letter, dated April 15, to the President of Mexico calling to expand and clarify the industries that are essential and requesting to take into account CISA guidelines.

 

2. Statements by Ambassador Landau

On Tuesday, April 21, the US Ambassador said on Twitter that he is doing everything he can to save supply chains between Mexico, the US, and Canada. The supply chains of the North American region have been interrupted, in part, because the countries have not harmonized the definition of what constitutes “essential activities”.

 

3. The response of the Mexican Government

That same day, the Ministry of Economy issued a brief statement on Twitter. The Ministry recognized that it is in constant communication with the US Trade Representative (USTR) to protect the health of their fellow citizens and, at the same time, the productive integration of their economies.

The President of Mexico, for his part, approached this problem in his conference on Thursday, April 23, albeit superficially. He acknowledged that the automotive and other industries are closely interrelated, but he also pointed out that “an agreement will be reached at the time, when [USA] will resume activities. We have made a commitment… to analyze when to resume activities so that gradually production on the border returns to normality. But this has not been decided yet…”

 

4. Statements of the Mexican Industry

According to recent reports, leaders of the Mexican manufacturing industry have stated that companies in the US will turn to local suppliers displacing Mexicans permanently and that contracts are at risk. Luis Aguirre Lang, president of INDEX, indicated to El Universal that options to resume activities at the work centers will be presented to the federal government to sustain the 3 million jobs generated by the export manufacturing industry or IMMEX.

 

5. Outbreaks in Plants

In this regard, both the US and Mexican media have reported outbreaks of COVID in the workplace. For example, it is reported that the counties where the largest meat processing plants are located have a higher rate of COVID infection; it is also reported that there are more health risks in the food industry than manufacturing, so it is also likely that there are greater risks of COVID infection in the food industry. In Mexico, for example, outbreaks of COVID have also been reported in workplaces, including maquiladoras in Baja California (report April 22), Chihuahua (report April 20), Ciudad Juarez (report April 19).

 

6. Suspension of non-essential activities until May 30

On April 21, the Ministry of Health modified the “COVID Agreement” ordering to extend the suspension of non-essential activities until May 30. The modification to the COVID Agreement also orders state authorities to enact prevention and control measures pursuant to the “general criteria” issued by the Ministry of Health and in accordance with the magnitude of the COVID epidemic.

Mexican Relief Measures

1. Central Mexican Bank Measures

On Tuesday, April 21, the Mexican Central Bank’s Governing Board approved a package of measures with the objective to (1) promoting orderly behavior in the financial markets, (2) strengthening credit-granting channels, and (3) providing liquidity for healthy development of the financial system; among other measures, we highlight the “provision of resources to [development] banking institutions to channel credit to [SMEs] and individuals… ”; this program will benefit from 250 billion pesos. These actions seek to reduce the possibility that credit institutions have pro-cyclically behavior and that financial intermediaries can continue to provide financing to the economy in order to offset the adverse effects of the impact of COVID on financial markets. This decision was well received by the business community.

 

2. Federal Government

On Wednesday, April 22, the President in his morning conference detailed his “plan” to face the economic crisis, which was published as a Decree yesterday.

In essence, the plan emphasizes to continue with projects and programs considered as a priority and to adopt austerity measures, rejecting the idea to request debt. However, economists point out that Mexico’s public debt has increased due to the peso devaluation, the value of Mexican debt set in USD, the price of oil, among other factors.

Finally, on Thursday, April 23, the Ministry of Economy announced that it will give one million micro credits (25,000 pesos each) to small family businesses that are registered in the “Census of Well-being”. This census has been criticized because it has been used for political purposes. The micro credits announced by the Ministry of Economy are in addition to the Mexican Institute Social Security (“IMSS“) credits for the same amount to those SMEs that have not reduced their workforce or wages. Clearly, these programs are very limited and insufficient to face the economic consequences of COVID that will affect companies in all sectors of the economy.

So far, the only tax relief measure at the federal level is for individuals that consist of filing the annual tax return until June. At the state level, authorities have implemented relief measures for state and local taxes as a result of COVID.

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COVID and USMCA and Mexico Relief Measures – The Trading Room

3 Apr , 2020  

COVID and USMCA entry into force, Mexican Measures, Health Emergency, International Trade

Download our newsletter in PDF in the following link: Trading Room 

USMCA Status

Since the Canadian Parliament approved USMCA in March, it was thought that USMCA would enter into force on June 1, 2020, as long as all parties formally notified that they had concluded their internal legislative procedures. On Monday, however, it was reported that US congressmen sent a letter to Lighthizer, the US Trade Representative, requesting a new date to be set for USMCA’s entry into force due to the public health crisis and interruptions in the supply chain caused by COVID. The Congressmen pointed out that USMCA should not come into effect until Mexico and Canada have fulfilled their prior commitments (e.g. reforming laws) and until industries can effectively implement the new rules. The Mexican Association of the Automotive Industry (AMIA), for instance, to reconsider the date of entry into force until 2021.

 

Notwithstanding the foregoing, it is reported that yesterday (Thursday) Canada notified Mexico and the US the conclusion of its domestic USMCA approval process. A Mexican high-level official has called July 1, 2020, to be the entry-into-force since there are pending matters to be resolved.

 

 

COVID-19 Relief Measures in Mexico?

 

The President of Mexico, AMLO, announced since last Monday, March 23, that there are no relief plans for companies, tax exemptions or other mechanisms. Also, AMLO stated the following:

 

 “We are developing a plan, only that it is different from the recipes that were applied in times of crisis; for example, credit was always used, from the International Monetary Fund, fortunately, we have no need to do that, because we have reserves, we have savings, we can finance our development. “

 

This position has been reiterated in several of the president’s morning conferences, particularly in response to an economic plan presented by business associations to address the economic crisis; some of the proposals are reducing 5% the income tax, the government should facilitate payment regarding outstanding balances with suppliers, provision of loans from the Development Bank to SMEs. However, this Thursday the president, AMLO, announced that this Sunday he will present an “Economic Plan.”

 

Sanitary Emergency in Mexico

 

In the face of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Government has issued the following agreements and decrees published in the Official Gazette of the Federation on March 23, 24, 27, 30 and 31, respectively:

 

  • Agreement by which the General Health Council recognizes the epidemic of disease due to the SARS-CoV2 virus (COVID-19) in Mexico, as a serious disease of priority attention, as well as the activities of preparation and response to the said epidemic. 
  • Agreement establishing the preventive measures that must be implemented to mitigate and control the health risks involved in the disease caused by the SARS-CoV2 virus (COVID-19).
  • Decree declaring extraordinary actions in the affected regions of the entire national territory in terms of general health to combat the serious disease of priority attention generated by the SARS-CoV2 virus (COVID-19).
  • Agreement by which the epidemic of disease generated by the SARS-CoV2 virus (COVID-19) is declared as a health emergency due to force majeure.
  • Agreement establishing extraordinary actions to attend to the health emergency generated by the SARS-CoV2 virus.

 

The most relevant agreement, so far, is that that Declares a Health Emergency due to force majeure caused by COVID-19 (highlighted above). The importance is explained, firstly, by the legal labor implications of the declaration; although the text is subject to interpretation, high-level authorities indicate that the declaration does not modify labor rights (e.g. reduction of wages) or suspend labor relations or rights.

 

As a result of the aforementioned declaration, the Agreement establishing extraordinary actions was issued and ordered the immediate suspension, from March 30 to   April  30,  2020, of non-essential activities; thus,  the agreement defined in “detail” those activities considered essential that will have to continue to operate.

 

Mexican Tax Authority

 

Tax collection was considered as an essential activity for the performance of the Mexican economy. Therefore, the Mexican Tax Authority (SAT) is operating, and all its administrative procedures and procedures, including tax and international trade audits, are being carried out “as if in “normal” circumstances.

 

Ministry of Economy

 

As a result of COVID, the Ministry of Economy suspended, as a general rule, all legal deadlines. However, some of its procedures and departments will continue to operate, e.g. international trade matters. The relevant department has issued facilitation measures, regarding certificate of origins, import licenses, quotas, etc., enabling electronic submissions as well as the issuance of e-government documents in order to avoid gatherings in government offices.

 

 COVID-19 – Let us Help.

Alliott Group

 

As a member of Alliott Group: Alliance of Accountants & Lawyers Worldwide, VTZ puts at your reach relevant information on government relief measures, tax incentives or the like offered in countries due to the COVID-19 pandemic. We are convinced that having a global vision on relief measures in different parts of the world will undoubtedly help business rethink their plans and contractual commitments.

We, our colleagues of Alliott Group located in 65 countries and VTZ, are ready to face and overcome the effects of this health crisis with you. So, tell us, how can we help?

 

COVID and Alliott, Relief Measures,

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